Group G centres on Belgium at 1.50 under Domenico Tedesco, with Mohamed Salah's Egypt (4.50) the most realistic challenger. Iran (5.50) brings Mehdi Taremi and a counter-attacking system, while New Zealand (26.00) returns to the World Cup for the first time since 2010 — when they remained unbeaten with 3 draws.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | Pts | Qualification |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🇧🇪 Belgium |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7–1 | 9 | 95% |
| 2 | 🇪🇬 Egypt |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4–3 | 6 | 78% |
| 3 | 🇮🇷 Iran |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2–3 | 3 | 28% |
| 4 | 🇳🇿 New Zealand |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0–6 | 0 | 4% |
| 🇧🇪 Belgium | 🇪🇬 Egypt | 🇮🇷 Iran | 🇳🇿 New Zealand | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇧🇪 Belgium | — | 1W–0D–1L | 0W–1D–0L | 1W–0D–0L |
| 🇪🇬 Egypt | 1W–0D–1L | — | 1W–1D–0L | 1W–0D–0L |
| 🇮🇷 Iran | 0W–1D–0L | 0W–1D–1L | — | 2W–0D–0L |
| 🇳🇿 New Zealand | 0W–0D–1L | 0W–0D–1L | 0W–0D–2L | — |
Belgium's golden generation faded but Tedesco rebuilt around Doku-Trossard-Lukaku attack. Egypt at 17% is the closest challenger thanks to Salah's individual ceiling. 95%+ of simulations have Belgium reaching 7+ points.
VIEW FULL PREDICTION →Belgium 51.3% to win, 26.2% draw, 22.5% Egypt win. Expected goals: BEL 2.0, EGY 1.1. Salah will create chances but Belgium's possession control wins the day. Belgium -1 handicap also strong value at 2.20.
VIEW FULL PREDICTION →Mohamed Salah at 4.00 to win the group top scorer is the play. Egypt is set up to feed him goals — Trezeguet and Mostafa Mohamed flanking, Salah operating in central pockets under Hossam Hassan. Even with games against Belgium and Iran, Egypt should win vs New Zealand comfortably with Salah taking all penalties and set pieces. Lukaku splits goals with Doku and Trossard, Salah doesn't.
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