Group I is anchored by France at 1.20 with Kylian Mbappé entering his prime, and features Erling Haaland's long-awaited World Cup debut for Norway (5.50). Senegal (7.00) brings 2002 R16 history under new coach Pape Thiaw, and Iraq (26.00) appears at their first World Cup since 1986.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | Pts | Qualification |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🇫🇷 France |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6–1 | 7 | 94% |
| 2 | 🇳🇴 Norway |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6–2 | 7 | 85% |
| 3 | 🇸🇳 Senegal |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3–4 | 3 | 36% |
| 4 | 🇮🇶 Iraq |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0–8 | 0 | 3% |
| 🇫🇷 France | 🇳🇴 Norway | 🇸🇳 Senegal | 🇮🇶 Iraq | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇫🇷 France | — | 4W–1D–1L | 0W–1D–1L | 0W–0D–0L |
| 🇳🇴 Norway | 1W–1D–4L | — | 0W–1D–0L | 0W–0D–0L |
| 🇸🇳 Senegal | 1W–1D–0L | 0W–1D–0L | — | 1W–0D–0L |
| 🇮🇶 Iraq | 0W–0D–0L | 0W–0D–0L | 0W–0D–1L | — |
Mbappé-Tchouaméni-Dembélé core in their prime, plus depth with Coman, Thuram, Doué. Norway's strongest squad in 25 years (Haaland + Ødegaard) is the credible challenger at 14%, but the head-to-head on Jun 27 likely sees France through with at least a point.
VIEW FULL PREDICTION →Norway likely needs to win this match outright (or draw) to top the group. Haaland 65% to score vs France's high line. France 48.5% to win, 28.8% draw, 22.7% Norway win. Expected goals: FRA 1.8, NOR 1.4.
VIEW FULL PREDICTION →Erling Haaland Tournament Top Scorer at 8.00 is the play. Norway has the softest non-favourite group draw — at least 6-7 scoring chances against Iraq alone. If Norway advances (highly likely), Haaland gets more games. Mbappé has competition from Thuram, Olise, Dembélé for goals; Haaland has none from his Norwegian teammates.
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