Group K pairs Portugal at 1.65 with Copa America 2024 runners-up Colombia (3.40) in the closest top-two race in any 2026 group. Uzbekistan (17.00) makes their first-ever World Cup appearance, while DR Congo (9.00) returns to football's biggest stage for the first time since 1974.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | Pts | Qualification |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🇵🇹 Portugal |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6–2 | 7 | 89% |
| 2 | 🇨🇴 Colombia |
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5–2 | 7 | 84% |
| 3 | 🇨🇩 DR Congo |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4–6 | 3 | 36% |
| 4 | 🇺🇿 Uzbekistan |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1–6 | 0 | 5% |
| 🇵🇹 Portugal | 🇨🇴 Colombia | 🇨🇩 DR Congo | 🇺🇿 Uzbekistan | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇵🇹 Portugal | — | 4W–1D–1L | 0W–0D–0L | 0W–0D–0L |
| 🇨🇴 Colombia | 1W–1D–4L | — | 1W–0D–0L | 1W–0D–0L |
| 🇨🇩 DR Congo | 0W–0D–0L | 0W–0D–1L | — | 0W–0D–0L |
| 🇺🇿 Uzbekistan | 0W–0D–0L | 0W–0D–1L | 0W–0D–0L | — |
Portugal's Euro 2024 QF run shows current form, with Bernardo Silva and Bruno Fernandes anchoring possession. Colombia at 27% is a strong challenger thanks to their Copa America 2024 final run. The Jun 27 head-to-head is essentially a group final.
VIEW FULL PREDICTION →Portugal 41.5% to win, 32.8% draw, 25.7% Colombia win. Expected goals: POR 1.3, COL 1.0. Both teams have strong defensive structures (Pepe-Dias and Dávinson-Cuesta). Draw is the highest single-outcome probability of any group decider.
VIEW FULL PREDICTION →Colombia to top the group at 3.40 is the value. Their Copa America 2024 final run (lost to Argentina) showed they can hang with the elite. Luis Díaz's form for Liverpool has been world-class in 2025-26. Portugal's reliance on Ronaldo at 41 is the question mark — if he sits out a softer group match, Colombia's momentum surge could decide the head-to-head.
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