Group C is anchored by Brazil at 1.25 to top the group — the strongest favourite of any group across the tournament. Morocco (4.50) brings 2022 semi-final form and is the only realistic challenger, with Scotland and Haiti competing for the 3rd-place qualification slot.
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GF–GA | Pts | Qualification |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🇧🇷 Brazil |
3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7–1 | 9 | 98% |
| 2 | 🇲🇦 Morocco |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5–2 | 6 | 88% |
| 3 | 🏴 Scotland |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2–4 | 2 | 24% |
| 4 | 🇭🇹 Haiti |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1–8 | 0 | 3% |
| 🇧🇷 Brazil | 🇲🇦 Morocco | 🏴 Scotland | 🇭🇹 Haiti | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🇧🇷 Brazil | — | 3W–2D–1L | 1W–0D–1L | 1W–0D–0L |
| 🇲🇦 Morocco | 1W–2D–3L | — | 0W–2D–0L | 1W–0D–0L |
| 🏴 Scotland | 1W–0D–1L | 0W–2D–0L | — | 1W–0D–0L |
| 🇭🇹 Haiti | 0W–0D–1L | 0W–0D–1L | 0W–0D–1L | — |
Highest probability group winner across all 12 groups. Ancelotti era starting to gel with elite attacking depth (Vinicius, Rodrygo, Endrick, Raphinha). Only realistic challenger is Morocco at 11% — a 6-point swing would require Brazil losing the final matchday.
VIEW FULL PREDICTION →Brazil 56.8% to win, 23.7% draw, 19.5% Morocco win. Expected goals: Brazil 2.1, Morocco 1.0. Morocco's attacking 4-3-3 against Brazil's high defensive line creates clear chances for both sides.
VIEW FULL PREDICTION →Morocco at 4.50 for group winner is value relative to their actual ceiling. Brazil is rightly favoured but Morocco showed in Qatar 2022 they can shock anyone — and Ancelotti's tactical project is still bedding in. If Morocco gets a draw or upset on matchday 3, they top the group. The implied 22% chance seems too low given Regragui's tactical record against South American sides.
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